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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Jose I. Aizpurua, Brian G. Stewart, Stephen D. J. McArthur (Univ of Strathclyde), Nitin Jajware (Bruce Power), Martin Kearns (EdF Energy), Sarajit Banerjee (Kinectrics Inc)
Proceedings | Nuclear Plant Instrumentation, Control, and Human-Machine Interface Technolgies (NPIC&HMIT 2019) | Orlando, FL, February 9-14, 2019 | Pages 1222-1231
Power cables are critical assets for the reliable and cost-effective operation of nuclear power plants. The unexpected failure of a power cable can lead to lack of export capability or even to catastrophic failures depending on the plant response to the cable failure and associated circuit. Prognostics and health management (PHM) strategies examine the health of the cable periodically to identify early indicators of anomalies, diagnose faults, and predict the remaining useful life. Traditionally, PHM-related strategies for power cables are considered separately with the associated penalties involved with this decision. Namely, there is a lack of consideration of the interactions and correlations between failure modes and PHM tests, which results in scalability issues of ad-hoc experiments, and accordingly incapability to exploit the full potential for PHM strategies in an effective manner. An effective and flexible PHM strategy should be able to consider not only different PHM strategies independently, but also it should be able to fuse these tests into a cable health state indicator. The main contribution of this paper is the proposal of a PHM-oriented data analytics framework for medium voltage power cable lifetime management which incorporates anomaly detection, diagnostics, prognostics, and health index modules. This framework includes the characterization of existing data sources and PHM-oriented data analytics for cable condition monitoring. This process enables the creation of a database of existing datasets, identification of complementary PHM techniques for an improved condition monitoring, and implementation of an end-to-end PHM framework.