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2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Nicholas R. Brown, Seungmin Oh, Shripad T. Revankar, Cheikhou Kane, Salvador Rodriguez, Randall Cole, Jr., Randall Gauntt
Nuclear Technology | Volume 166 | Number 1 | April 2009 | Pages 43-55
Technical Paper | Special Issue on Nuclear Hydrogen Production, Control, and Management | doi.org/10.13182/NT09-A6967
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
This paper presents a transient control volume modeling scheme for both the sulfur-iodine (SI) and Westinghouse hybrid sulfur (HyS) thermochemical cycles. These cycles are very important candidates for the large-scale production of hydrogen in the 21st century. In this study, transient control volume models of the SI and HyS cycles are presented, along with a methodology for coupling these models to codes that describe the transient behavior of a high-temperature nuclear reactor. The transient SI and HyS cycle models presented here are based on a previous model with a significant improvement, namely, pressure variation capability in the chemical reaction chambers. This pressure variation capability is obtained using the ideal gas law, which is differentiated with respect to time. The HyS model is based on a time-dependent application of the Nernst equation. Investigation of the new pressure assumption yields a peak pressure rate of change of 5.877 kPa/s for a temperature-driven transient test matrix and 2.993 kPa/s for a mass flow rate-driven transient test matrix. These high rates of pressure change suggest that an accurate model of the SI and/or HyS cycle must include some method of accounting for pressure variation. The HyS model suggests that the hydrogen production rate is directly proportional to the SO2 production rate.