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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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The Standards Committee is responsible for the development and maintenance of voluntary consensus standards that address the design, analysis, and operation of components, systems, and facilities related to the application of nuclear science and technology. Find out What’s New, check out the Standards Store, or Get Involved today!
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Te-Chuan Wang, Min Lee
Nuclear Technology | Volume 206 | Number 3 | March 2020 | Pages 414-427
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.1080/00295450.2019.1653152
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
MAAP5 is an integral severe accident analysis program that simulates the responses of a light water reactor power plant during a severe accident. This program has been used extensively for probabilistic safety assessments, verification and validation of mitigation actions specified in severe accident management guidelines, and source term quantification. In this study, the uncertainty of in-vessel hydrogen generation predicted by the MAAP5 code was quantified. The surrogate plant that was analyzed is the Lungmen Nuclear Power Station of the Taiwan Power Company. The plant employs an advanced boiling water reactor. We performed sensitivity studies to identify the important model parameters that affect the target output parameters. A range and distribution were assigned to these parameters on the basis of experimental results and expert judgment. The number of input parameters in the analysis was 27. Multiple MAAP5 calculations were performed with an input combination generated from Latin hypercube sampling. The calculation results were analyzed parametrically and nonparametrically to determine the 95th percentile with the 95% confidence level value of the amount of in-vessel hydrogen generation. The Pearson correlation coefficient was used to determine the effect of the model parameters on the target output parameters. The analysis results provide guidance for code applications. The only parameters that pass the threshold of 0.362 for hydrogen generation in the core are FCO and TCLMAX. For hydrogen generation in the lower plenum, FOXBJ is the only input parameter that passes the threshold.