ANS is committed to advancing, fostering, and promoting the development and application of nuclear sciences and technologies to benefit society.
Explore the many uses for nuclear science and its impact on energy, the environment, healthcare, food, and more.
Division Spotlight
Isotopes & Radiation
Members are devoted to applying nuclear science and engineering technologies involving isotopes, radiation applications, and associated equipment in scientific research, development, and industrial processes. Their interests lie primarily in education, industrial uses, biology, medicine, and health physics. Division committees include Analytical Applications of Isotopes and Radiation, Biology and Medicine, Radiation Applications, Radiation Sources and Detection, and Thermal Power Sources.
Meeting Spotlight
2024 ANS Winter Conference and Expo
November 17–21, 2024
Orlando, FL|Renaissance Orlando at SeaWorld
Standards Program
The Standards Committee is responsible for the development and maintenance of voluntary consensus standards that address the design, analysis, and operation of components, systems, and facilities related to the application of nuclear science and technology. Find out What’s New, check out the Standards Store, or Get Involved today!
Latest Magazine Issues
Aug 2024
Jan 2024
Latest Journal Issues
Nuclear Science and Engineering
September 2024
Nuclear Technology
Fusion Science and Technology
August 2024
Latest News
Nuclear new build procurement considerations
It may seem counterintuitive, but the best time to enhance the ability to support operations and maintenance for a new plant is before construction starts. This is one of many lessons learned by the currently operating nuclear fleet. As construction and startup of many nuclear facilities was completed, it quickly became evident that the ability to efficiently support operations and maintenance was limited. Most of the information necessary to establish and manage procurement of spare and replacement items, maintenance, and configuration of the facilities was unavailable and had to be gathered on a case-by-case, “on-demand” basis. Absence of necessary information and the associated challenges resulted in the need for staff augmentation and multiyear-long projects to develop equipment bills of material and maintenance programs and to perform technical evaluations for the huge quantities of spare and replacement items being requested.
Bertrand Iooss, Amandine Marrel
Nuclear Technology | Volume 205 | Number 12 | December 2019 | Pages 1588-1606
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.1080/00295450.2019.1573617
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
In the framework of the estimation of safety margins in nuclear accident analysis, a quantitative assessment of the uncertainties tainting the results of computer simulations is essential. Accurate uncertainty propagation (estimation of high probabilities or quantiles) and quantitative sensitivity analysis may call for several thousand code simulations. Complex computer codes, as the ones used in thermal-hydraulic accident scenario simulations, are often too CPU-time expensive to be directly used to perform these studies. A solution consists in replacing the computer model by a CPU-inexpensive mathematical function, called a metamodel, built from a reduced number of code simulations. However, in case of high-dimensional experiments (with typically several tens of inputs), the metamodel building process remains difficult. To face this limitation, we propose a methodology which combines several advanced statistical tools: initial space-filling design, screening to identify the noninfluential inputs, and Gaussian process (Gp) metamodel building with the group of influential inputs as explanatory variables. The residual effect of the group of noninfluential inputs is captured by another Gp metamodel. Then, the resulting joint Gp metamodel is used to accurately estimate Sobol’ sensitivity indices and high quantiles (here 95% quantile). The efficiency of the methodology to deal with a large number of inputs and reduce the calculation budget is illustrated on a thermal-hydraulic calculation case simulating with the CATHARE2 code a loss-of-coolant accident scenario in a pressurized water reactor. A predictive Gp metamodel is built with only a few hundred code simulations which allows the calculation of the Sobol’ sensitivity indices. This Gp also provides a more accurate estimation of the 95% quantile and associated confidence interval than the empirical approach, at equal calculation budget. Moreover, on this test case, the joint Gp approach outperforms the simple Gp.