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2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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Latest News
IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
M. Zabiégo, F. Fichot, P. Rubiolo
Nuclear Technology | Volume 154 | Number 2 | May 2006 | Pages 194-214
Technical Paper | Thermal Hydraulics | doi.org/10.13182/NT06-A3728
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
In the frame of Institut de Radioprotection et de Sûreté Nucléaire research programs on severe accidents in pressurized water reactors (PWRs), a new radiative heat transfer model to be used in the ICARE/CATHARE software is presented. The reactor core is considered an optically thick porous medium, and the diffusion approximation is adopted. The equivalent conductivity of the medium is determined. Its expression is carefully established to take into account the strong geometrical variations occurring in a reactor core undergoing a severe accident sequence (as observed in Three Mile Island Unit 2). After describing the theoretical basis of our approach, it is shown that the continuity of the equivalent conductivity is ensured when the geometry evolves from an array of intact cylinders to a particle bed.When compared to the more classical radiation method used in most severe accident codes, this approach better predicts the radial temperature gradient obtained by Cox in his experiment in bundle geometry. The same comparison on a PWR vessel undergoing an accidental sequence brings to the fore the impact of the radiation modeling on the degradation process: The sideward heat losses predicted by the method selected in this work are more limited, which slows the radial progression of the degradation.