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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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The Standards Committee is responsible for the development and maintenance of voluntary consensus standards that address the design, analysis, and operation of components, systems, and facilities related to the application of nuclear science and technology. Find out What’s New, check out the Standards Store, or Get Involved today!
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Latest News
IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Bryan L. Broadhead, Jabo S. Tang, Robert L. Childs, Cecil V. Parks, Hiroaki Taniuchi
Nuclear Technology | Volume 117 | Number 2 | February 1997 | Pages 206-222
Technical Paper | Radioactive Waste Management | doi.org/10.13182/NT97-A35326
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
The three-dimensional Monte Carlo code MORSE-SGC, as implemented in the SCALE system calcula-tional sequence SAS4, is applied to the analysis of a series of simple geometry benchmark experiments and prototypic spent-fuel storage cask measurements. The simple geometry experiments were performed in Japan and at the General Electric-Morris Operation facility; the cask measurements were performed at the Idaho National Engineering Laboratory. The quantification of uncertainties in a typical shielding analysis process for transport /storage casks can be accomplished by comparison of consistent trends between calculated and measured dose rate quantities in both benchmark and prototypic environments. Benchmark results typically measure the validity of cross-section data and computer code adequacy; prototypic environments, however, generally measure the overall validity of the calcula-tional procedure. A total of five storage cask problems and two simple geometry problems were analyzed to determine the expected accuracies of computational analyses using well-established source-generation and Monte Carlo codes. The general trends seen in this work are in agreement within 30% or better with the measurements for neutron dose rates along the cask side, lid, and bottom. The gamma-ray dose rates with substantial contributions from the top endfitting, plenum, and bottom end-fitting regions also are in good agreement. Based on the latest results, gamma-ray dose rate calculations with major contributions due to the active fuel region show a consistent factor of 1.6 overprediction of the measured quantities for casks with iron and concrete shields. Major uncertainties exist in the quantification of 59Co concentrations in endfitting hardware materials. The results presented support the accuracy of source generation methods and dose estimation methods in these regions given accurate impurity characterizations. Thus, it is felt that the practice of using upper bounds for 59Co initial concentrations should ensure conservative cask designs. Fortunately, the gamma-ray dose discrepancies seen along the sides of both the iron and concrete cask surfaces are overpredictions. The reason for overprediction is not fully known. Even though these overpredictions are not clearly understood, the trends observed, combined with some degree of code and data testing using these or similar benchmark measurements, should inspire confidence in the shielding results for a shipping/ storage package.