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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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Latest News
IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Thomas A. Buscheck, John J. Nitao
Nuclear Technology | Volume 104 | Number 3 | December 1993 | Pages 418-448
Technical Paper | Special Issue on Waste Management / Radioactive Waste Management | doi.org/10.13182/NT93-A34901
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
To safely and permanently store high-level nuclear waste, the potential Yucca Mountain repository site must mitigate the release and transport of radionuclides for tens of thousands of years. In the failure scenario of greatest concern, water would contact a waste package, accelerate its failure rate, and eventually transport radionuclides to the water table. Analyses have demonstrated that (a) the ambient hydrological system will be dominated by repository-heat-driven hydrothermal flow for tens of thousands of years and (b) the only significant source of liquid water is from nonequilibrium fracture flow, driven either by meteoric sources or by the condensation of repository-heat-driven flow of water vapor. For sub-boiling conditions, the infiltration of meteoric water and condensate drainage are controlled by the highly heterogeneous distribution of hydrological properties, while for above-boiling conditions, they are largely determined thermodynamically. In a concept called the “extended-dry repository,” the heat of radioactive decay generates a region of above-boiling temperatures around the repository, thereby extending the time before liquid water can contact a waste package. It is also found that the magnitude of repository-heat-driven, buoyant, liquid-phase convection in the saturated zone is more dependent on the total mass of emplaced spent nuclear fuel (SNF) than on the details of SNF emplacement, such as the areal power density (expressed in kilowatts per acre) or SNF age.