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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
David J. Kropaczek, Paul J. Turinsky
Nuclear Technology | Volume 95 | Number 1 | July 1991 | Pages 9-32
Technical Paper | Nuclear Fuel Cycle | doi.org/10.13182/NT95-1-9
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
An in-core nuclear fuel management code for pressurized water reactor reload design has been developed that combines the stochastic optimization technique of simulated annealing with a computationally efficient core physics model based on second-order accurate generalized perturbation theory. The approach identifies the placements of feed fuel, exposed fuel with assembly orientations, and burnable poisons within the core lattice that optimize fuel cycle performance or thermal margin according to one of the following objectives: maximization of keff at a target end-of-cycle (EOC) burnup, minimization of the maximum radial power peaking over the cycle, or maximization of region average discharge burnup, and subject to constraints on radial power peaking, discharge burnup, and moderator temperature coefficient. Each objective examined for a typical cycle 2 reload indicated the existence of multiple optimal solutions. A comparison of the loading patterns obtained for the same fuel inventory shows that the marginal cost associated with achieving a 6.1% reduction in the maximum radial power peaking is equivalent to a 15.0% increase in fuel cycle costs for the specific core analyzed. Alternatively, an optimum loading pattern was found that increased the region average discharge burnup by 11.4% more than the one that maximizes the EOC keff, with the added expense of an increase in feed enrichment required to offset an otherwise 11.2% decrease in cycle length.