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2026 ANS Annual Conference
May 31–June 3, 2026
Denver, CO|Sheraton Denver
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Christmas Light
’Twas the night before Christmas when all through the house
No electrons were flowing through even my mouse.
All devices were plugged by the chimney with care
With the hope that St. Nikola Tesla would share.
Hector A. Munera, George Yadigaroglu
Nuclear Technology | Volume 74 | Number 2 | August 1986 | Pages 229-232
Technical Note | Nuclear Safety | doi.org/10.13182/NT86-A33808
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Limit lines used to define quantitative probabilistic safety goals can be categorized according to whether they are based on discrete pairs of event sequences and associated probabilities, on probability density functions (pdf ‘s), or on complementary cumulative density functions (CCDFs). In particular, the concept of the well-known Farmer’s line and its subsequent reinterpretations is clarified. It is shown that Farmer’s lines are pdf ’s and, therefore, the overall risk (defined as the expected value of the pdf) that they represent can be easily calculated. It is also shown that the area under Farmer’s line is proportional to probability, while the areas under CCDFs are generally proportional to expected value.