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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Alessandro Petruzzi, Dan G. Cacuci, Francesco D'Auria
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 165 | Number 1 | May 2010 | Pages 45-100
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE09-37C
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
This work presents a paradigm application of a new methodology for simultaneously calibrating (adjusting) model parameters and responses, through assimilation of experimental data, to the benchmark transient thermal-hydraulic experiment IC1, performed at London's Imperial College. Following the description of the experimental setup, the corresponding mathematical model is developed and solved numerically. The sensitivities of typically important responses (e.g., temperatures, pressures) to model parameters are computed by applying both the forward and the adjoint sensitivity analysis procedures. These sensitivities not only identify the most important model parameters but also propagate, within the data assimilation procedure, parameter uncertainties for obtaining predictive best-estimate quantities, with reduced best-estimate uncertainties (i.e., “smaller” values for the variance-covariance matrices). This assimilation procedure also provides a quantitative indication of the degree of agreement between computations and experiments. In particular, the paradigm application presented in this work indicates the path for validating and calibrating thermal-hydraulic computational models used for reactor safety analyses. The concluding remarks highlight several important open issues, the resolution of which would significantly advance the area of predictive best-estimate modeling, while opening new avenues for applications in nuclear reactor engineering and safety.