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2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
N. V. Kornilov, S. M. Grimes, T. N. Massey, C. E. Brient, D. E. Carter, J. E. O’Donnell, K. W. Cooper, A. D. Carlson, F. B. Bateman, C. R. Heimbach, N. Boukharouba
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 194 | Number 5 | May 2020 | Pages 335-349
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.1080/00295639.2019.1702408
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
The n-p scattering angular distribution was measured with 14.9 MeV incident neutrons produced at the neutron facility of Ohio University. The traditional time-of-flight technique with neutron-gamma discrimination was applied for the measurement of the number and energy of scattered neutrons. The scattering angle varied from 20 to 65 deg (laboratory system) in 5 deg incremental steps corresponding to an ejectile energy range from 13.16 to 2.66 MeV. The efficiency of the neutron detectors was measured in the energy range 2 to 9 MeV relative to the 252Cf standard and was calculated using Monte Carlo methods in the 2 to 14 MeV energy range. Two methods of analysis were applied for experimental and simulated data: a traditional approach with a fixed threshold ~0.1MeVee and a dynamic threshold approach. The efficiencies determined by both methods are in excellent agreement for simulated and experimental results within the energy interval 2 to 9 MeV. The experimental (<9 MeV) and calculated efficiencies (>9 MeV) were applied for evaluation of the n-p scattering experimental result. The corrections for neutron attenuation in the “scatter-detector” were calculated with analytical formulas and by the Monte Carlo method. Additional minor corrections for edge effect, C(n,n’)3α background and dead time were also included. The present data agree with recent evaluations for the n-p angular distribution within about 1.6%. The current state-of-the-art of experimental uncertainties that can be realized for a neutron counting experiment were reached in this investigation. An additional correlation analysis allows us to conclude that the standard deviation connected with existing correlations may be the main component of the total uncertainty.