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2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Robert C. Ward, Randal S. Baker, Jim E. Morel
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 152 | Number 2 | February 2006 | Pages 164-179
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE06-A2573
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
A multidimensional block-based adaptive mesh refinement (BAMR) method for the neutral particle transport equation with diamond and linear discontinuous spatial differencing was developed several years ago. This method was implemented in the PARallel TIme-dependent SN (PARTISN) deterministic transport code. However, the only source acceleration method available with BAMR was transport synthetic acceleration. Although the block-based adaptive mesh is orthogonal, the individual mesh cells may not be simply connected. Because of this lack of simple connectivity, development of a fully consistent diffusion synthetic acceleration (DSA) method has not been possible. This paper describes the development of a DSA method based upon an additive correction to the scalar flux iterate after a transport sweep. This DSA equation is differenced using a vertex-centered diffusion discretization that is diamond-like and may be characterized as "partially" consistent. It does not appear algebraically possible to derive a diffusion discretization that is fully consistent with diamond transport differencing on AMR meshes. The diffusion matrix is symmetric positive definite, and the DSA method is effective for most applications. This BAMR-DSA solver has been implemented and tested in two dimensions for rectangular (X-Y) and cylindrical (R-Z) geometries. As expected, results confirm that a partially consistent BAMR-DSA method will introduce instabilities for extreme cases (e.g., scattering ratios approaching 1.0 with optically thick cells), but for most realistic problems, e.g., the iron-water shielding problem, the BAMR-DSA method provides an effective acceleration method.