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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
P. A. Landeyro, A. Buccafurni
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 108 | Number 2 | June 1991 | Pages 126-149
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE91-A23813
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
Estimates are made of the positive reactivity introduced through the growth of the coolant void fraction in the Chernobyl reactor at both the average burnup value given by the Soviets and the maximum value. Using Monte Carlo models, various possible axial burnup distributions, displacer models, conditions in the control channels, and control rod positions are considered in calculating the insertion of positive reactivity by the manual and emergency control rods, that is, the “positive scram.” Two possible scenarios are examined for a second reactivity peak: (a) creation of a mixture of fuel, water, and cladding in a number of central fuel channels, resulting in the explosion of these channels, and (b) uniform vaporization throughout the entire reactor, resulting in reactor depressurization. From the data presented in this study, it can be concluded that vaporization of the cooling water in the fuel channel gave the highest reactivity contribution to the Chernobyl accident. The positive reactivity due to insertion of the manual and emergency control rods played only a minor role in the reactivity balance of the accident.