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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Yoshikuni Shinohara, Ritsuo Oguma
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 52 | Number 1 | September 1973 | Pages 76-83
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE73-A23290
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
A simple method of nonlinear filtering is applied to the problem of dynamic reactivity estimation in which the law of reactivity change is assumed to be unknown. The filter is designed based on a system model containing the usual point reactor kinetics equations driven by fictitious white noises and a reactivity state equation. The latter is formulated such that the rate of the reactivity change is a random process, taking account of the unknown reactivity change. The nonlinear filter applied here is a simple modification of the Kalman filter added with a nonlinear feedback loop. The key parameter that determines the filter response is the parameter of the fictitious noise in the reactivity equation which is closely related to the filter gain. The results of the computer simulation and the experiment show that the nonlinear filter can be used to estimate the dynamic reactivity, even under an extremely noisy measurement condition.