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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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The Standards Committee is responsible for the development and maintenance of voluntary consensus standards that address the design, analysis, and operation of components, systems, and facilities related to the application of nuclear science and technology. Find out What’s New, check out the Standards Store, or Get Involved today!
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
G. C. Geisler, R. E. Zindler
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 48 | Number 3 | July 1972 | Pages 255-265
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE72-A22484
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
An improved method, called Simulation of System Operation for Reliability Analysis, for utilizing Monte Carlo techniques in the computer analysis of the reliability of complex systems is presented. This method is particularly applicable to systems which employ highly reliable elements with extremely low failure rates. Earlier techniques of Brunot simulate operation of a system through a sequential series of time steps and test for system failure in each time step. After a sufficient number of time steps, a system failure probability can be determined. When such methods are applied to systems composed of highly reliable components, computer time requirements can become excessive. This is due to the great number of time steps which must be examined to obtain statistically significant numbers of system failures. The method to be described begins by randomly selecting a “critical’ ’ time step of failure for each component. Failures are then examined to determine if a system failure combination has occurred in any time step. To continue the simulation, a second critical time step is chosen for each component and added to the first. The program proceeds in this fashion, considering only time steps in which at least one failure has occurred. Thus computer time requirements become essentially independent of failure rates.