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2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
L. A. Belblidia, J. M. Kallfelz, D. G. Cacuci
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 84 | Number 3 | July 1983 | Pages 206-225
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE83-A17790
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
This paper presents an efficient method to analyze variations that nuclear data perturbations induce in one-dimensional power-density distributions. This method is called the Taylor-generalized perturbation theory (Taylor-GPT) method since it is based on (a) use of a Taylor series expansion of the response variation, and (b) use of generalized perturbation theory (GPT) to evaluate the derivative operators that appear as coefficients in this Taylor series. Equations satisfied by the importance functions for the derivatives of the response variations are derived and solved with existing GPT codes. The characteristics of these functions are highlighted analytically. Particular attention is focused on the numerical value and location of the maximum power density. This is because perturbations in system parameters affect not only the value at the maximum, but also the location of this maximum. The Taylor-GPT method can efficiently assess such effects. The practical usefulness of the Taylor-GPT method is illustrated by considering test cases involving a simplified heterogeneous liquid-metal fast breeder reactor model. The results indicate that this method is as accurate as the GPT method, yet requires fewer calculations when investigating space-dependent power density variations.