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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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Latest News
IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Christopher M. Ryan, Craig M. Marianno, William S. Charlton, Alexander A. Solodov, Ronald J. Livesay, Braden Goddard
Nuclear Technology | Volume 186 | Number 3 | June 2014 | Pages 415-426
Technical Paper | Radiation Transport and Protection | doi.org/10.13182/NT13-98
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
The collapse of the Soviet Union ushered in an era of interest in the security of the radiological and nuclear material holdings of the Russian Federation and other countries of the Former Soviet Union. Additionally, the increasing sophistication of international criminal and terrorist organizations highlighted the need to secure these materials and prevent them from being smuggled from their point of origin and across international boundaries. To combat the growing threat of radiological and nuclear smuggling, radiation portal monitors (RPMs) are deployed at ports of entry (POEs) around the world to passively detect gamma and neutron radiation signatures from cargo and pedestrian traffic. In some locations, RPMs are reporting abnormally high gamma-ray background count rates, a situation that has been attributed, in part, to the building materials surrounding the RPMs. The primary objective of this work was to determine the impact of different types of concrete on the gamma-ray background readings in a particular RPM. Secondary objectives include developing an adaptable model to estimate the gamma-ray background contribution from any composition of concrete in any RPM configuration and determining the elemental composition of different concrete samples through neutron activation analysis (NAA) techniques. The specific activities of 40K and isotopes from the 238U and 232Th decay series were determined with a high-purity germanium detector and computer-generated calibration files. Through NAA, 34 elemental compositions were determined for six concrete samples from three different parent slabs. The total weight percentages determined were 84% to 100% of the total mass of the samples. The Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP) transport code was used to simulate the RPM response to the different concrete slabs. The MCNP model was validated by comparing actual and simulated detector responses to 137Cs check sources of varying strengths. For all validation cases, the MCNP estimates were 6% to 16% less than the value obtained from the actual RPM data. This work shows that it is possible to estimate the gamma-ray response of an RPM to the underlying concrete roadway. Knowing the amount of this contribution will allow RPM customers to choose suitable foundation materials before installation and accurately set alarm thresholds. This could ultimately increase the ability of RPMs to detect radiation at POEs, thereby increasing the probability of a seizure of smuggled radiological and nuclear materials.