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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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Latest News
IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
D. Rochman, W. Zwermann, S. C. van der Marck, A. J. Koning, H. Sjöstrand, P. Helgesson, B. Krzykacz-Hausmann
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 177 | Number 3 | July 2014 | Pages 337-349
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE13-32
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
A new and faster Total Monte Carlo (TMC) method for the propagation of nuclear data uncertainties in Monte Carlo nuclear simulations is presented (the fast TMC method). It addresses the main drawback of the original TMC method, namely, the necessary large time multiplication factor compared to a single calculation. With this new method, Monte Carlo simulations can now be accompanied with an uncertainty propagation (other than statistical), with small additional calculation time. The fast TMC method is presented and compared with the TMC and fast GRS methods for criticality and shielding benchmarks and burnup calculations. Finally, to demonstrate the efficiency of the method, uncertainties due to uncertainties in 235,238U, 239Pu, and thermal scattering nuclear data, for the local deposited power in 12.7 million cells, are calculated for a full-size reactor core.