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Conference Spotlight
2025 ANS Winter Conference & Expo
November 9–12, 2025
Washington, DC|Washington Hilton
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IAEA again raises global nuclear power projections
Noting recent momentum behind nuclear power, the International Atomic Energy Agency has revised up its projections for the expansion of nuclear power, estimating that global nuclear operational capacity will more than double by 2050—reaching 2.6 times the 2024 level—with small modular reactors expected to play a pivotal role in this high-case scenario.
IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi announced the new projections, contained in the annual report Energy, Electricity, and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050 at the 69th IAEA General Conference in Vienna.
In the report’s high-case scenario, nuclear electrical generating capacity is projected to increase to from 377 GW at the end of 2024 to 992 GW by 2050. In a low-case scenario, capacity rises 50 percent, compared with 2024, to 561 GW. SMRs are projected to account for 24 percent of the new capacity added in the high case and for 5 percent in the low case.
Fujio Maekawa, Shin-ichiro Meigo, Yoshimi Kasugai, Hiroshi Takada, Takashi Ino, Setsuo Sato, Eric Jerde, David Glasgow, Koji Niita, Hiroshi Nakashima, Yukio Oyama, Yujiro Ikeda, Noboru Watanabe, Jerome Hastings, The ASTE Collaboration
Nuclear Science and Engineering | Volume 150 | Number 1 | May 2005 | Pages 99-108
Technical Paper | doi.org/10.13182/NSE05-A2504
Articles are hosted by Taylor and Francis Online.
A neutronic benchmark experiment on a simulated spallation neutron target assembly was conducted by using the Alternating Gradient Synchrotron at Brookhaven National Laboratory and was analyzed to investigate the prediction capability of Monte Carlo simulation codes used in neutronic designs of spallation neutron sources. The target assembly consisting of a mercury target, a light water moderator, and a lead reflector was bombarded by 1.94-, 12-, and 24-GeV protons, and the fast neutron flux distributions around the target and the spectra of thermal neutrons leaking from the moderator were measured in the experiment. In this study, the Monte Carlo particle transport simulation codes NMTC/JAM, MCNPX, and MCNP-4A with associated cross-section data in JENDL and LA-150 were verified based on benchmark analysis of the experiment. As a result, all the calculations predicted the measured quantities adequately; calculated integral fluxes of fast and thermal neutrons agreed approximately within ±40% with the experiments although the overall energy range encompassed more than 12 orders of magnitude. Accordingly, it was concluded that these simulation codes and cross-section data were adequate for neutronics designs of spallation neutron sources.